|The fourth place trophy. Nobody said it was a particularly|
nice-looking trophy. Photo: Chris Parry.
|Odds of Arsenal finishing in the Top Four, by number of|
points. Click the graph to enlarge.
|Upcoming opponent's points per game.|
Home and Away is for Arsenal.
Arsenal's points per game home or
away minus their opponent's points
per game away or home. Games at
Emirates Stadium are, therefore,
inherently more winnable than road
But, we still need to go back to the crux of this blog post:
I can, however, point to six games that Arsenal must win if they have fourth place aspirations. They are, at the heart of it, the three most winnable home games and the three most winnable road games: Wigan at home on April 14, Aston Villa at home on March 24, Norwich at home on May 5, QPR away on March 31, Wolves away on April 11, and West Brom away on May 13. These six games have to be wins if Arsenal are serious about playing in the Champions League next season.